Question: Is signing up/withdrawing earnings via VPN from EU betting sites possible from a country where they can't operate/I can't sign up?
I'm from Israel, and as such I can't sign up for 99% of the betting sites out there. So if I were to use a VPN to spoof my IP and pretend to be...say, from the UK, at registration, would I need to verify my being from the UK via showing documents? Or can I just provide a fake address, phone number, etc. on registration, and as long as my IP fits they'll let me sign up and withdraw earnings without any further proof needed? Thanks in advance!
I have access to many EU betting sites and I can bet on the matches you chose for 10% of the steak. I can accept payment and send you the earnings with various methods of your choice. The country you live doesn't matter.
Hey I am looking to a site/app in the US to bet on Soccer (interested in UK and EU games mostly). Is there a site like bet365/betfair in the US (California)? I am also looking for a similar way of stating the odds. Thanks
08-18 17:12 - 'If you're going to bet with bitcoin use nitrogensports.eu they currently have Floyd at 1.238 which isn't quite as good odds but the site is by far the most reliable bitcoin betting site, you can see r/sportsbookreviews to read...' by /u/bloop321 removed from /r/Bitcoin within 0-10min
''' If you're going to bet with bitcoin use nitrogensports.eu they currently have Floyd at 1.238 which isn't quite as good odds but the site is by far the most reliable bitcoin betting site, you can see sportsbookreviews to read up on it. if you are going to use it [this]1 is my referral link if you wanna use it I'd appreciate it ''' Context Link Go1dfish undelete link unreddit undelete link Author: bloop321 1: nitr*gensport**eu/r*17**9*0 Unknown links are censored to prevent spreading illicit content.
bias:Trump:49592 posts in support since Oct 15,2016:Bookmaker.eu removes political betting from their site, good thing I already bet on Trump to win PA with +675 payout! LOL! /r/The_Donald
bias:Trump:48229 posts in support since Oct 15,2016:Bookmaker.eu removes political betting from their site, good thing I already bet on Trump to win PA with +675 payout! LOL! /r/The_Donald
A few days ago I looked for the most shorted stocks in Europe. https://www.esma.europa.eu/sites/default/files/library/ssr_websites_ss_positions.pdf I found a short position of almost 2 years of citadel. The stock in question in a short time has gained a lot. But citadel does not cut its losses. https://preview.redd.it/l1vo3nxnzkf61.png?width=1091&format=png&auto=webp&s=5ba846e7642edc9894dbde500dd3fc562645fe1f https://preview.redd.it/jhgfko8szkf61.png?width=859&format=png&auto=webp&s=12ac0cf434c9e0d54079d525490457646d550fa5 They are also retarded. I bet the short on GME >200%. Do you think they sold at a loss? No. Melvin was loaned money to keep the shorts open. Point72 boss laughs like crazy reading our comments. They are all short. My advice is to hold the stock. In my opinion the drop is due to the new reddit users who bought but have no experience so they sold to limit their losses. Their behavior made the quotations fall. I've been saying since last thursday that this game will last 2-3 weeks. Hold! In Europe they have to report immediately to the supervisors when they exceed 0.20% and then they have to report the same day if they change the short position by 0.10%. Conflict of interest: I have 400 GAMESTOP shares and tomorrow I buy another 500.
PLUG, And why the next three years are going to be humongous.
Alright, shut the fuck up about GME for a second and Im gonna make you money. y'all heard alot about PLUG from a few places as of late. Yes, it has exploded 135% in the last month alone but it isn't over. Right now, the sentiment is bearish and I agree in the short term, but long term PLUG is only going to keep growing. There are a few key points I want to highlight. PLUG is single-highhandedly the largest hydrogen-fuel-cell titan in the industry. 20 years of industry under its belt, it now services Amazon with 40,000 active forklifts and Walmart uses roughly 10,000 active vehicles. Now, they are partnering with two more titans. Renault and SK Group. The French and South Korean markets respectively. First, Renault. Renault is well established in France, and is backed by the government itself. The deal with Renault is HUGE for plug in the European market. The two plan to establish an innovation center for development of fuel cell technology in LCV vehiclesforfuture Renault platforms. Initially, heavy vans and utility. They plan on combining manufacturing with Renault, establishing a vertically integrated fuel cell stack system and a manufacturing center in France. Expansion of refueling systems to accommodate the new market. The deal will only accelerate in the future as Renault plans to adopt Plug Power technology in commercial fleets. Why is Renault Interested? Well, the EU announced a plan calling for Europe to have at least six gigawatts of renewable hydrogen electrolyzers by 2024 (A critical period for PLUG for a few more reasons) and the production of up to 1 million tonnes of renewable hydrogen. Doable, sure, but the bigger picture is this: This is almost exactly how the rise of the solar industry happened. EU plans into the future. The European Union unveiled a plan this month to invest hundreds of billions of euros in technologies enabling it to get a substantial share of its energy from hydrogen by 2050. This is potentially insane. (https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/enefiles/hydrogen_strategy.pdf) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Second group. SK Group is planning to invest 1.5 billion USD in an intention to form a joint venture next year. The goal is to provide South Korea (and later a possibility of the larger Asian Market) hydrogen fuel cell systems. Particularly, Infrastructure and electrolyzers (power stations, basically). There is, however, no information if PLUG is planning on directly partnering with any manufacturers in Korea. (I will get to this later). Why is SK Group interested in Plug? Plans call to build a liquid hydrogen plant with an annual capacity of 30,000 tons in Incheon in 2023, to be scaled up to 280,000 tons in 2025. The South Korean government's commitment to shift the to Hydrogen with 729 Million dollars this year. A 30% increase from last year. (https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/electric-powe060120-asian-countries-accelerate-hydrogen-plans-with-policies-and-projects) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Now, whats the point of all this infrastructure? I understand the powerplants but is the future just going to be us driving in Amazon forklifts? - Says you, a dumbass who doesnt do DD and leaves it up to others in what is basically a Casino. Sweet summer child.. Hydrogen fuel is going to be big in the automotive scene. Yes, Papa Musk hates it, so fucking what? keep buying one year out calls @ 50% OTM and tell Musk to fuck off with how much bank you're going to make. GM may have made a statement that they are going for ALL hydrogen back in 2017, but they have since rescinded that statement. Their Hydrogen plan still remains though, Fuel-cell power-trains will be used in military and commercial vehicles. (https://twitter.com/mikewayland/status/1283734665157922816?lang=en) Honda is already selling a vehicle with hydrogen fuel cell technology. The Honda Clarity. They plan on expanding on the line greatly as they seem to be extremely set on becoming green. Hyundai is already selling a vehicle with hydrogen fuel cell technology, the Hyundai Nexo. Hyundai Motor Group and its suppliers plan to spend of 7.6 trillion won (US$6.7 billion) through 2030 to raise production of fuel cells by more than 200-fold as the South Korean automaker targets to become a key player in the new-energy vehicle technology. So much money is flowing into Hydrogen fuel cell technology, why is noone capitalizing on it? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The play: Wait for volatility to die down, PLUG has had a massive run up. Truly tremendous, and I'm glad to have been in PLUG for a long while. The hype is almost certainly blown up, and general market attitude is that it is a sell which I agree with. TLDR: PLUG is going to return from low-earth orbit to refuel, my price target is 50 by mid-FEB before PLUG does a Hindenburg and the price fucking explodes. 🚀🚀🚀 Position: Wait for good entry: PLUG 70C 06/18. Yes its fucking expensive, wait for better entry and learn how to do spreads, dumbass. You bet big and win big. If you have more than 6 brain cells or are straight up fucking broke: Buy LEAPS and Shares on the dip thats about to happen. Im in for PLUG 100C 1/20/23, and will load up even more because its as high as Robinhood's shitty platform lets me go. SPREADS, LEARN HOW TO DO THEM, STOP BEING POOR AND LOSING YOUR TSLA GAINS ON SHITTY PLAYS. Have fun playing. Hydrogen is the future.
When can I get my vaccine? A lot of people are frustrated about vaccine availability but the fact we have anything to give people after only 10 months is an amazing technical and scientific triumph. It may be the only major thing that the US has done well in the pandemic. Nevertheless the question is reasonable, when might I get one? The persons who could go get one now are about 2 million in MD or about 1/3 of our population. I will largely do the calculations here on the national level assuming a round figure of 330 million people in the US. Pfizer and Moderna have contracts with the Federal Government to supply 100 million doses each of their vaccines in the first quarter (i.e. March 31). That is 200 million does, or enough for 100 million people. That is enough to cover phase 1 if 100% of people take the vaccine. So the first answer is if you are in phase 1 and the companies meet their contracts you will be able to get a shot before March 31. But are the companies going to deliver? Perhaps but perhaps not. The EU has seen their supplies dramatically cut. Where does the US stand. Well the US actually has received 75,394,550 does. Meanwhile the US has only vaccinated about 20 million people. 38 million is about where the US would be if everything instantly went into someone. The state’s totals reflect this as well in that the does in people are much less than the doses allocated. However distribution will likely only get better over time. The program is actually now hitting 20 and 30K per day which is enough to keep up with supply and start to bring down the backlogs. With more sites opening the backlog will likely drop to close to zero (there will always be some delay at every level of distribution). So going forward? Well right now there are 10,151,550 doses made a week. There are basically 9 weeks left before the end of Q1. So we arrive at 167 million doses in Q1 at current pace. So for first doses we can expect something like 84 million people to have been vaccinated by March 31, or nominally 25% of the population. In MD that is about 1.5 million people or 75% of the people in phase 1. Given there will not be 75% initial vaccine uptake that almost certainly means that everyone in phase 1 should be done in the next 9 weeks; unless there is a major manufacturing issue. What could speed things up? J&J, Oxford and Novavax. Today Novavax’s phase 3 UK data came out (https://ir.novavax.com/news-releases/news-release-details/novavax-covid-19-vaccine-demonstrates-893-efficacy-uk-phase-3) showing over 80% effective against the old strains and more than 60% against the new South African variant. That 60% might sound low but it is fine and what we really care about is serious disease not disease. So far the South African variant is not dominant in the US. Not the 20-80% confidence interval. The confidence intervals overlap between the two results meaning there is no statistically significant difference in protection yet, and this is an interim analysis only. The same issues may apply to all the vaccines but all of them are likely to significantly reduce serious disease even if they don’t offer full protection. The US trial for Novavax is still enrolling if you want a 2/3 chance of being vaccinated. However it probably will not complete until April or May. At which point there will be a lot of vaccine made and potentially released all at once. So in early May we might really have vaccines for anyone who wants one. These data seem more clear cut than Oxford. The US might approve this vaccine on the UK data if the US trial looks like it will not complete and lots of doses are available and there are no major issues with the UK/SA trials; but I wouldn’t bet on it. Oxford/AZ’s vaccine is having manufacturing issues in Europe. Its trial results are expected in Feb/Mar in the US, and will likely be the basis for approval here. There is little point in approving a vaccine for which you have no supply and the UK study was messy. I do not expect the FDA to approve this vaccine until the US trial completes. I have no idea how much the supply in the US is but the Fed ordered 300 million doses. It is being manufactured in Baltimore by Emergent. The last vaccine is J&J. Phase 3 results are expected in the next few days according the rumor mill. I’m not sure why this is the rumor as only the review board can see the data. They don’t have the same interim looks at data that the other trials do but have a continuous process. So their first report out might be their final one. Thus they may know they are getting close to some confidence level and are moving in that direction every day and thus will soon be able to say: we have it! But it could be just a rumor. Less of a rumor is that Emergent has a hard time making this at first and the FDA is still clearing their factory for the production in some way. As a result initial doses are going to be shipped from the EU. That might prove interesting politically given the dose cuts from Pfizer to the EU. However if the company is allowed to do what they promised the best estimate is 7-9 million doses in Feb. It is a 1 dose vaccine though so that is like 18 million of the others. Rate of production in March and onward has not been publically estimated but is expected to be higher, ideally it is 30 million/month roughly. I hope the US government is in talks with J&J about ordering more of this now so the day they announce phase 3 results they could ink a deal. A major first test of Biden’s increased focus on the pandemic at the national level is if they are ready to hit go on this the day it is worth doing. Bottom line is that 84 million people should be vaccinated by March 31 at least. It could be more like 140 million if the mRNAs hit their manufacturing targets and only J&J is approved. If Oxford is also approved in March it might be more like 160 million. By that point you are into the territory of anyone who wants a shot can go get one if they aren’t picky about which type they take. Since we basically know Oxford works some, we now see Novavax works some and J&J’s phase 2 results are similar to others I think we can say that all of these will be 70+% effective against the original wild type; Oxford might be the least effective but it might also have just been a trial goof or how the end point is measured. Of the 6 vaccines picked only 1 failed (assuming J&J works) that’s pretty amazing. Once the other 3 are approved supply issues will end around April/May.
Welcome to the continuation of the Subreddit Anomalies - Hero Discussions 2020, where we feature in 2020 & beyond a weekly rotating hero discussion. This week we continue with the less is more format. Please feel free to share your questions, favorite builds, or guides from popular players and streamers. I play to win! This week we feature D.Va who is classified as a Bruiser in the new Blizzard Roles system. In the early Fall of 2020, D.Va received a rework to their abilities and talents. D.Va is a popular hero with a 53% win rate in ranked play and is seen a lot during the weekend CCL matches. There was a previous D,Va Hero Discussion on May 23rd, 2018.
Organized Play Builds: CCL -(Link) | NGS -(Link) | Heroes Lounge -EU & NA
Previous Hero Discussions - (Link) & The sidebar for Heroesofthestorm is updated to include the Hero Discussions wiki. Please Upload Your Replays toHeroes Profile&HotsLogs - Uploading your replays to these sites provides better data for the HotS community to analyze and learn from. HotsApi has been on the fritz for a bit, so your best bet is to use these sites' uploaders or web upload sites.
Hello all, I was hoping my fellow degens could help me collaborate on a general list of all betting websites that provide the option of a prop builder (make custom prop parlays). I have had great success with them on one website and wanted to know which other sites have them as I fear I may be limited soon. Any help is greatly appreciated! List (Thanks to other Redditors below):
Betting markets currently think Trump has around a 15% chance of being the next president and are still accessible to new participants
Betting markets have been hovering around a 15% chance of Trump being inaugurated as the next president. While PredictIt, the most famous site, no longer allows new participants in those markets and limits bets on each individual market to $850, cryptocurrency-based markets such as Polymarket, FTX, and Augur are still available and place no limits other than the somewhat shallow market depth. At the time of posting Polymarket lets you buy "No" on Trump being inaugerated for $0.82 and FTX has TRUMPFEB trading at $0.154. For Polymarket this translates into a 21% return for a 10-week investment, though due to fees and market depth this will actually be more like 18%. Individual states are also available on Polymarket but have lower returns, such as $0.90 for Pennsylvania. In the spirit of the post a month ago about the dislocation between betting market odds and prediction model odds, I thought I would make a post about this. Ironically, while that post inspired me to bet on Biden, based on how the polls performed I think putting that much trust in them was the wrong decision, even though it ended up working out. However we now have a much more reliable source of information on the election outcome than polls: the vote count. EDIT: Apparently space has opened up on the PredictIt markets, so that is an option as well. The main issue is they charge a 5% fee on withdrawals (and less importantly a 10% fee on profits), which is huge unless you're planning to keep the money in PredictIt and make bets repeatedly. You're limited to $850 for the general and then an additional $850 for each relevant state, they aren't available in many countries, and their odds are currently worse. That said, you can apparently transfer money to them directly with a credit card. I won't say much about why I think the actual odds are under 1%, I don't think I have any special insight compared to average members of this subreddit who have been following the situation. In short, Trump needs to flip multiple states which all have margins much larger than are normally flipped in recounts and larger than any of the reasonably disputed categories of ballots like those received after election day. As far as I know Trump's team has failed to present any remotely plausible legal arguments that would suffice to invalidate enough ballots, though I am not a lawyer and have not looked into their arguments closely. It's still possible that there genuinely was some massive multi-state organized vote-fraud effort that sent hundreds of thousands of fake ballots, and that they get caught with ironclad evidence in order to either mass-invalidate ballots or inspire state governments to send electors not matching the official vote count, but I think it's extremely unlikely. It seems similarly unlikely, without such evidence emerging, for either the Supreme Court to make a ruling capable of flipping the election or for state senates to successfully send electors not matching the vote count, and a search finds an article claiming Republican leaders of key state senates have already said they don't plan to try to do so and won't unless fraud is found, implying that they don't believe sufficient proof of fraud currently exists (or at least didn't 4 days ago when the article was published). Availability and Fees Polymarket does not seem to have any prohibited countries that I can find listed on their website and imposes a 2% fee on all trades. They are the site I used, so I am less familiar with FTX and completely unfamiliar with Augur. FTX does not allow people in the U.S., the EU, Canada, or many other countries to buy presidential contracts, so be sure to check that beforehand. They have a 0.5% fee and have a fixed $75 fee for withdrawals under $10,000. Augur is confusing and I'm not sure how it works, but it sounds like maybe they mostly have semi-fixed fees of $25 or so per trade based on the underlying gas fees for the ethereum cryptocurrency market. If you know of any other sites that are still accepting bets on the U.S. election, feel free to mention them in the comments. In addition, there may be fees associated with buying the needed cryptocurrency. Polymarket uses USDC, an Ethereum-based stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar, so you aren't implicitly betting on the price of cryptocurrency. Coinbase normally charges a spread margin of up to 2%, but this page implies USDC specifically can be bought without fees, at least if you're using U.S. dollars. Some other cryptocurrency providers will charge fees on buying/selling USDC, so depending on which ones are available to you that could add another 1-2% in fees for converting to USDC and then back. As mentioned in the next section there may be around $0.20-$7 in ethereum transaction fees, and if you're making a wire transfer your bank will charge you a fixed fee of unpredictable size, probably around $50. Fees can make a substantial dent in our profits here, which would be a bigger deal if I thought the actual probability was anywhere near 15%. Augur uses DAI, which is also a stablecoin but is more loosely pegged so it varies a bit. FTX uses their own cryptocurrency called FTT tokens that you buy from them directly, I think it's not itself a stablecoin but I'm not sure if bets are otherwise pegged to U.S. dollars somehow. Market Depth Polymarket lets you type in how much you're thinking about buying and see the average price you would end up buying it for, while FTX and Augur shows you more detailed market information. On Polymarket if you're putting in tens of thousands of dollars you can expect the average price you pay to be a couple cents worse than what they have listed. This is substantial, especially combined with the fees, and is even worse with the markets for individual states which both have less profits to begin with and are smaller markets. Once again, this would be a bigger deal if I thought the market was close to the actual probability. Notes on using cryptocurrency If you're putting in under $1000 you can apparently buy directly from Polymarket with a debit/credit card, otherwise you're buying your USDC elsewhere. If you're using Coinbase you can transfer USDC directly from them to Polymarket, if not you'll want to get a third-party wallet application (I used MetaMask), transfer from your vendor to that wallet address, and then transfer from that wallet to Polymarket. Transferring USDC from your wallet will require a "gas" fee you have to pay in Ethereum, not USDC. This is based on Ethereum network activity when you do it, sometimes it'll be under a dollar but in one case I paid over $6 for one transaction. So you'll want to transfer some Ethereum to your wallet as well as the USDC. If you're using Augur then DAI presumably works the same way. Be careful: I found the process pretty straightforward, but if you manage to send cryptocurrency to the wrong address or forget to record your MetaMask wallet password or something you can irreversibly lose a lot of money. Other Risks One possibility I considered was that the betting market you use will take the money and run before you can cash out. But Polymarket apparently raised $4 million in funding from investors last month and FTX similarly raised millions last year, while total volume in the Polymarket Trump inauguration market for example is supposedly only $2.1 million. It doesn't seem like it would be worthwhile for them to try to steal the money and flee the country, and if something happens there are companies and people with names you can sue over it. Augur is some sort of distributed market, I'm guessing it's set up so that nobody can just take the money but I don't know any of the technical information. Another risk is that, since wire transfers will take days, the market will collapse because of something like Trump conceding after you've paid some fees but before you can get in. But the actual amount of money you'll lose in that scenario is low. As always, don't bet more than you can afford to lose While I think the chance of Trump winning a second term or things otherwise going wrong are very low, I do think it's more likely than the risk of losing money kept in a savings account. This isn't just a cliche disclaimer, if there is an extreme difference in the value of the money you stand to lose and the money you stand to gain then that can obviously make a bet a bad idea even if the expected value is strongly positive. For example if you bet so much that you stand to end up homeless or would disrupt major life plans like forcing you to drop out of university, there is a very real sense in which the dollars you stand to lose are worth much more per dollar than the dollars you stand to gain. And if you think the risk is higher than I do, for example if you think there is actually a 5% chance of a Trump victory, then that may prompt you to limit your risk further until the money isn't a big deal either way.
I normally play between 100nl and 500nl but only after I deposited did I see the insane $200 daily limit. It wasn't made obvious at all anywhere. I immediately contacted support and said that the $200 isn't even 1 buyin for my normal game. After this shady bs I decided I don't want to do business with them at all. So I sent in my documents and requested a cashout which they denied saying I need to roll over. I never played a single hand because of their insane limits and I refuse to step down to micro limits just to try and clear a huge(relative to the stakes) deposit. The "senior" in chat said the following:
Okay, understood, once you documents have been verified you will receive an email from our security team after which you can make your withdrawal request. Please send us an email to [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) once you make the withdrawal request stating that you accept the 10% charge for processing your withdrawal
This is unacceptable and shady af. I'll obviously take the 10% extortion hit just to get the rest of my funds but this is super shady. Be wary of making a new account and depositing. They have insane rules that no other poker site, that I'm aware of, in the world has. edit I deposited bitcoin and want a bitcoin withdraw. I've also sent all of the identity documents they requested I went ahead and accepted their extortion of 10%. I'm still waiting on the withdraw but in general I would never recommend this site to anyone that plays above 10nl due to their insanely low daily limits. If you play 100nl+ run from this site
"Hell, it's about time!" - Hero Discussion: Tychus
Welcome to the continuation of the Subreddit Anomalies - Hero Discussions 2020, where we feature in 2020 & beyond a weekly rotating hero discussion. This week we continue with the less is more format. Please feel free to share your questions, favorite builds, or guides from popular players and streamers. I don't see what all the fuss is about with my cigar, do you? This week we feature Tychus who is classified as a Ranged Assassin in the new Blizzard Roles system. In the Summer and Fall of 2020, Tychus received quite a number of buffs to his talents. Tychus is a popular hero with a 53% win rate in ranked play and is seen a lot during the weekend CCL matches. There was a previous Tychus Hero Discussion on May 4th, 2018.
Organized Play Builds: CCL -(Link) | NGS -(Link) | Heroes Lounge -EU & NA
Previous Hero Discussions - (Link) & The sidebar for Heroesofthestorm is updated to include the Hero Discussions wiki. Please Upload Your Replays toHeroes Profile&HotsLogs - Uploading your replays to these sites provides better data for the HotS community to analyze and learn from. HotsApi has been on the fritz for a bit, so your best bet is to use these sites' uploaders or web upload sites.
How do I interpret NFL betting and odds to tell which is the favored team in a matchup?
Being a European NFL fan, I've on and off during the season checked the odds set by bookers for NFL games. Not to bet on anything, but rather to see which team is the favorites to win a given matchup before kick-off. However, I am confused, the betting information on sports sites looks nothing like what I'd expect from an EU perspective. Take tonight's Packers - Rams game as a stand-in. Most bets here works like this: Each team would have a ratio of money bet to potential return for them winning, say Packers 1:1.25, Rams 1:3, for tonight, which is constantly updated as the game progresses. Whichever team has the lower ratio is usually the favorite to win that game. In other words, If you bet on the Packers and they won, you'd get $1.25 back for every $1 you bet initially, should the Rams win, you'd receive $3 for every $1 you bet. Most sites I've looked at do not seem to work this way, however, instead, they do OveUnder and +/-. Which I don't understand how to make head or tail of, at all. How do I, at a glance, tell which team is the favored one to win a given game before kickoff with the system the US bookers seem to use?
Bovada Referrals - 2021 - Sister Sites and State + Country Restrictions Information
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Bovada Information:
Bovada Referral Link Offers sports betting, online casino, online poker games. USA only. Four states are excluded and those states are Delaware, Maryland, Nevada, and New Jersey. If you live in one of these four states, you can not play on Bovada. Same goes for players from other countries, you can not play on Bovada, try one of the sister sites and if you still cannot play, you are out of luck.
Sister Sites to Bovada and Referral Links:
Bovada Referral Links can be found in this post, as well as Bovada's sister sites.
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